PLEASANTON, Calif. – According to the November Origination Insight Report from Ellie Mae® (NYSE:ELLI), the leading cloud-based platform provider for the mortgage finance industry, the percentage of Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs) reached 8.9 percent, the highest percentage since Ellie Mae began tracking data in 2011.
The increase in ARMs is directly correlated to the 30-year rate, which rose to 5.15 in November, up from 5.01 the month prior. For FHAs, the 30-year rate increased from 5.05 in October to 5.19 in November. Conventional rates increased from 5.03 in October to 5.17 in November, and VA rates rose from 4.83 to 4.99.
“As interest rates continue to rise, we are seeing the percentage of Adjustable Rate Mortgages rise in lockstep, and this month they’ve risen to the highest percentage we’ve seen since we began tracking data,” said Jonathan Corr, president and CEO of Ellie Mae. “As expected, we are also continuing to see the percentage of refinances remain low—30 percent in November—due to higher interest rates.”
Other statistics of note in November included:
- The time to close all loans increased to 46 days in November, up from 45 days in October. Time to close a purchase loan increased to 48 days, up from 46 days in October, while time to close a refinance remained at 43 days for the second consecutive month.
- The percentage of purchase loans rose to 70 percent of total loans in November, up from 68 percent the month prior.
- Overall FICO scores remained steady at 727 in November for the third month. LTV held at 79 for the fourth month, and DTI held at 26/39 for the second month.
The Origination Insight Report mines data from a robust sampling of approximately 80 percent of all mortgage applications that were initiated on the Encompass® all-in-one mortgage management solution. Ellie Mae believes the Origination Insight Report is a strong proxy of the underwriting standards employed by lenders across the country.
In addition to the Origination Insight Report, Ellie Mae also distributes data from its monthly Ellie Mae Millennial Tracker on the first Wednesday of each month. The Ellie Mae Millennial Tracker focuses on mortgage applications submitted by borrowers born between the years 1980 and 1999.
MONTHLY ORIGINATION OVERVIEW FOR NOVEMBER 2018
| Nov. 2018* | Oct. 2018* | 6 Months Ago (May 2018)* | 1 Year Ago (Nov. 2017)* | |
| Closed Loans | ||||
| Purpose | ||||
| Refinance | 30% | 32% | 30% | 39% |
| Purchase | 70% | 68% | 70% | 61% |
| Type | ||||
| FHA | 19% | 19% | 20% | 20% |
| Conventional | 65% | 65% | 66% | 66% |
| VA | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Days to Close | ||||
| All | 46 | 45 | 41 | 43 |
| Refinance | 43 | 43 | 37 | 40 |
| Purchase | 48 | 46 | 43 | 45 |
| Percentage of ARM and Fixed Loan Volume | ||||
| ARM % | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| 30-Year Rate | ||||
| Average | 5.150% | 5.010% | 4.840% | 4.240% |
*All references to months should be read as month ended.
PROFILES OF CLOSED AND DENIED LOANS FOR OCTOBER 2018
| Closed First-Lien Loans (All Types) | |
| FICO Score (FICO) | 727 |
| Loan-to-Value (LTV) | 79 |
| Debt-to-Income (DTI) | 26/39 |
More information and analysis of closed and denied loans by loan purpose and investor are available in the full report at http://www.elliemae.com/about-us/news-reports/ellie-mae-reports/.
To get a meaningful view of lender pull-through, Ellie Mae reviewed a sampling of loan applications initiated 90 days prior—or the August 2018 applications—to calculate an overall closing rate of 72.2 percent in November 2018 (see full report).
About the Ellie Mae Origination Insight Report
The Origination Insight Report focuses on loans that closed in a specific month and compares their characteristics to similar loans that closed three and six months earlier. The closing rate is calculated on a 90-day cycle rather than on a monthly basis because most loan applications typically take one-and-a-half to two months from application to closing. Loans that do not close could still be active applications or applications withdrawn by consumers or denied for incompleteness or non-qualification.
The Origination Insight Report details aggregated anonymized data pulled from Ellie Mae’s Encompass origination platform.
News organizations have the right to reuse this data, provided that Ellie Mae, Inc. is credited as the source.
About Ellie Mae
Ellie Mae (NYSE:ELLI) is the leading cloud-based platform provider for the mortgage finance industry. Ellie Mae’s technology solutions enable lenders to originate more loans, reduce origination costs, and shorten the time to close, all while ensuring the highest levels of compliance, quality and efficiency. Visit EllieMae.com or call 877.355.4362 to learn more.
PRESS CONTACT
Erica Harvill
Ellie Mae, Inc.
(925) 227-5913
Erica.harvill@elliemae.com
Caitlin Coffee
Allison+Partners
(312) 635-8204
EllieMae@allisonpr.com